Resolution

Source of truth

Official government announcements or credible news reporting confirming the appointment.

Criteria

The market resolves to Yes if Aaron Lukas is the first new person to be appointed as the Director of National Intelligence before January 20, 2029.

Calendar

ClosesJan 20, 2029

Market closeJan 20, 2029

Payout

Binary: Yes if the condition is met, otherwise No.

Parsed 3d ago

What to watch

This market centers on whether Amaryllis Fox Kennedy will be appointed as Director of National Intelligence by Donald Trump before January 20, 2029. Resolution hinges primarily on Donald Trump winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as he must be in office to make such an appointment. Traders should monitor his campaign performance and the evolving U.S. political landscape. Additionally, Amaryllis Fox Kennedy's public profile, her perceived qualifications, and any demonstrated relationship or alignment with Donald Trump will be crucial factors influencing her potential selection for the role.

Updated 3d ago

Entities

Amaryllis Fox KennedyPerson Director of National IntelligenceOrg Donald TrumpPerson

Also watching

2028 U.S. Presidential ElectionEvent Amaryllis Fox Kennedy's qualifications and relationship with Donald TrumpIndicator Donald Trump's 2028 Presidential CampaignIndicator Dynamics of DNI appointments in a potential Trump administrationIndicator U.S. Political Landscape (2028)Indicator

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