Markets
Every prediction market we follow. Those above $1M in volume are actively tracked by our analysts.
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Economics$31.4M
- Yes90%
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Crypto28 outcomes$24.4M
- 80,000 to 84,999.998%
- 75,000 to 79,999.997%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
5 outcomes$23.9M
- Before Jan 20, 202934%
- Before 202829%
Fed decision in Jun 2026?
Economics5 outcomes$13.4M
- Fed maintains rate97%
- Cut 25bps3%
Ethereum price at the end of 2026
Crypto18 outcomes$11.6M
- 2,250 to 2,499.999%
- 2,500 to 2,749.999%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Politics9 outcomes$9.4M
- Before Jul 1, 202785%
- Before Apr 1, 202784%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Politics22 outcomes$7.6M
- Todd Blanche39%
- Lee Zeldin27%
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Politics10 outcomes$6.8M
- Before Jan 20, 202971%
- Before 202869%
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Politics4 outcomes$6M
- D-House, D-Senate43%
- D-House, R-Senate32%
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Politics$5.3M
- Yes9%
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Politics3 outcomes$4.8M
- Before January 20, 202922%
- Before 20278%
Best AI at the end of 2026?
7 outcomes$4.8M
- Claude64%
- Gemini18%
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Crypto$4.7M
- Yes6%
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
10 outcomes$4.4M
- $115.01 or above51%
- $120.01 or above44%
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Crypto4 outcomes$4.4M
- Before January 202734%
- Before October 202618%
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Economics21 outcomes$4M
- Exactly 0 cuts70%
- Exactly 1 cut16%
S&P close price end of 2026?
27 outcomes$3.6M
- 7,800 to 7,999.9917%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9915%
How many launches will SpaceX have in May?
8 outcomes$3.5M
- Above 1199%
- Above 1099%
Will Trump be impeached?
Politics5 outcomes$3.5M
- Before Jan 1, 202858%
- Before Mar 1, 202733%
Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
3 outcomes$3.4M
- Paramount82%
- None before July 202712%
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?
Crypto7 outcomes$3.4M
- Above $99,999.9931%
- Above $109,999.9920%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Politics32 outcomes$3.3M
- Tulsi Gabbard99%
- Kash Patel62%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Politics36 outcomes$3.1M
- Gustavo Petro98%
- Keir Starmer73%
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Politics2 outcomes$3.1M
- Before January 21, 202933%
- Before 202712%
How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
Crypto5 outcomes$2.8M
- Below $60,000.0061%
- Below $55,000.0050%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Elections45 outcomes$117.2M
- Gavin Newsom23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
Pro Basketball Finals: New York vs San Antonio
Sports2 outcomes$80M
- San Antonio63%
- New York37%
2026 Men's World Cup Winner
Sports48 outcomes$56.9M
- France18%
- Spain17%
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Elections38 outcomes$45.1M
- J.D. Vance33%
- Marco Rubio30%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Elections28 outcomes$40.5M
- Marco Rubio19%
- J.D. Vance17%
California Governor winner?
Elections25 outcomes$37.9M
- Xavier Becerra69%
- Tom Steyer20%
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Elections10 outcomes$33.9M
- Karen Bass62%
- Spencer Pratt26%
2027 Pro Football Champion
Sports32 outcomes$29.8M
- Los Angeles R10%
- Seattle8%
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
Elections$25.8M
- Yes27%
Pro Baseball Champion
Sports30 outcomes$22.7M
- Los Angeles D29%
- New York Y14%
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Elections2 outcomes$13.9M
- Democratic Party76%
- Republican Party24%
Men's French Open Winner
Sports12 outcomes$10.8M
- Alexander Zverev41%
- Joao Fonseca19%
Stanley Cup® Winner: Vegas Golden Knights vs Carolina Hurricanes
Sports2 outcomes$9.3M
- Carolina Hurricanes59%
- Vegas Golden Knights42%
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Elections4 outcomes$9M
- Before January 20, 202934%
- Before 202822%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Elections2 outcomes$5M
- Republican Party57%
- Democratic Party45%
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Elections9 outcomes$5M
- Byron Donalds89%
- James Fishback9%
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Elections18 outcomes$4.8M
- Nicolás Maduro63%
- Delcy Rodríguez27%
F1 Drivers Champion
Sports22 outcomes$4.7M
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli57%
- George Russell28%
Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
Elections10 outcomes$4.7M
- Ed Gallrein, 5-10%97%
- Ed Gallrein, 10-15%3%
Texas Senate winner?
Elections2 outcomes$4.3M
- Ken Paxton60%
- James Talarico40%
College Baseball D1 Champion
Sports23 outcomes$4.1M
- North Carolina20%
- Georgia Tech19%
Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
Elections9 outcomes$4.1M
- Graham Platner96%
- Janet Mills3%
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Elections10 outcomes$3.8M
- Ken Paxton, 20%+99%
- Ken Paxton, 15-20%0%
College Football National Championship Winner
Sports50 outcomes$3.3M
- Texas12%
- Oregon12%
U.S. Open Winner
Sports105 outcomes$3.2M
- Scottie Scheffler16%
- Rory McIlroy9%