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The policies and directives of the Iranian government, especially those affecting maritime activities and regional stability, directly influence transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz.
The Iranian government would be the other primary party to any nuclear deal, and its willingness and capacity to negotiate are central to the market's resolution.
The specific governmental body whose head of state or government Reza Pahlavi must become.
The stability and control of the current government are critical factors, as its weakening or fall could enable a visit.